TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 1:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Latvia and Cyprus. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature and scoring potential of the match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Latvia vs Cyprus UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 28, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based on the combined goals scored by both teams after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the actual number of goals exceeds any given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The rules consistently apply across all thresholds, ensuring uniformity in evaluation. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of various outcomes. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent distinct viewpoints on the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes in the Latvia vs Cyprus match. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various goal totals.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Latvia vs Cyprus match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football association. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Latvia or Cyprus would likely have an impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from football experts, team news announcements, and even significant shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.