TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Entertainment
Latin Grammy Awards · Song of the Year
kalshi

Who will win Song of the Year?

Sep 16, 2026, 2:20 PM EST - Nov 13, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$148,662
Volume 24h:
$10
90%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$17,530
0.05%

La Perla

 - Kalshi

La Perla - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 11d:04h:48m

Will La Perla win Song of the Year at the 2026 Latin Grammy Awards?

38%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 38¢ buys you 263 shares | Odds: 38% Total Payout: $263 | Net Profit: $163 Multiplier: 2.63x | ROI: 163% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

La Perla

Trade
38%
Yes 38¢No 96¢
34¢
N/A
$12,800
0%
516%
$1,814
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Mi Gran Amor

19%
Yes 27¢No 96¢
23¢
N/A
$8,006
0%
453%
$1,616
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Coleccionando Heridas

13%
Yes 14¢No 99¢
13¢
N/A
$1,199
0%
12%
$1,177
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Nilo

5%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,463
0%
0.97%
$1,463
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Solifican12

2%
Yes 25¢No 98¢
23¢
N/A
$24,195
0%
1,567%
$1,859
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

¿Como Se Ama?

2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$1,104
0%
1%
$1,075
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Tie

1%
Yes 57¢No 99¢
56¢
N/A
$47,319
0.02%
2,406%
$1,778
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Humano

28%
Yes 14¢No 98¢
12¢
N/A
$31,833
0%
1,467%
$1,799
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Femme Fatale

25%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,658
0%
77%
$1,622
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Hasta Jesús Tuvo Un Mal Día

4%
Yes 51¢No 100¢
51¢
N/A
$4,151
0%
187%
$1,489
1w 4d 4h
Active
kalshi

Dime

1%
Yes 21¢No 100¢
21¢
N/A
$13,934
0%
434%
$1,838
1w 4d 4h
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

The Latin Grammy Awards honor outstanding achievements in the Latin music industry, drawing attention from artists, fans, and industry professionals worldwide. Speculators may evaluate an artist's recent popularity, critical acclaim, and past nominations to gauge their chances of winning a specific award.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified song wins the Song of the Year award at the 2026 Latin Grammy Awards. The markets cover different potential winners, including various songs and a tie outcome. All secondary rules clarify that the markets are descriptive and not endorsed by the Latin Grammy Awards, emphasizing that references to the awards are for identification purposes only and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement by the award organizers.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Latin Grammy Song of the Year market tracks the current odds for each nominated song, displaying the implied probability of winning as determined by traders. It also provides a price history chart, allowing users to see how the market has fluctuated over time. Additionally, the dashboard shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $148,662. This information helps participants assess market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for the Latin Grammy Song of the Year. While music critics and industry experts offer opinions on potential winners, these are often subjective and based on artistic merit or popularity. This market, however, represents a collective prediction based on real money being wagered, potentially offering a more objective assessment of who is likely to win. Discrepancies between the market and analyst predictions can highlight interesting insights into public perception versus expert opinion.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each nominated song. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that song winning, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own research, analysis, and expectations, creating a dynamic and evolving market. As more information becomes available and opinions shift, the prices will adjust accordingly, ultimately reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Latin Grammy Award for Song of the Year, as announced by the Latin Recording Academy, will determine the winning contract in this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the Latin Recording Academy and verified against credible public sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts following the official announcement.

Several signals could influence this market leading up to the award ceremony. Major media coverage of the nominated songs, positive critical reviews, and strong performance on music charts could all increase a song's chances and drive up its price. Unexpected endorsements from influential artists or significant social media buzz could also have a noticeable impact. Furthermore, any news regarding the artists or their involvement in the event itself could shift trader sentiment and move the market. Any late-breaking developments related to the nominated songs are likely to be reflected in the trading activity.