TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines the winner of the first half of regulation time in the Las Vegas vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game scheduled for Sep 17, 2026. The result is decided by points scored during the first half alone, excluding overtime, with a specific resolution for a tied score.
The market resolves based on the winner of the first half of regulation time in the specified women's Pro Basketball game. If both teams score the same amount of points during the half, all team outcomes resolve to No and the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated belief of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the Las Vegas vs Seattle game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Official game statistics will be used to determine the first-half winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the Las Vegas vs Seattle game might also impact perceptions of team momentum. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements, as traders react to and anticipate the actions of others.