TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on predicting whether either team will achieve specific thresholds of sacks in an upcoming football game. Sacks are counted based on official game statistics, excluding those made during two-point conversion attempts. The outcomes reflect betting interest in defensive performance metrics for both teams.
These markets resolve based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Las Vegas vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A sack is counted when a defensive player tackles the quarterback behind the line of scrimmage before he throws the ball, excluding sacks during two-point conversion attempts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either team; if the team's sacks meet or exceed the threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies arise due to differing information or interpretations. While sportsbooks may initially set the odds, this market can dynamically adjust as new information becomes available and more traders participate, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches, providing a real-time assessment of the likely sack total.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the Las Vegas versus New Orleans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the total combined sacks recorded by both teams during the game, providing a clear and objective resolution for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. News regarding key player injuries on either the Las Vegas or New Orleans offensive lines, or particularly impactful pass rushers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could also affect the passing game and, consequently, the number of sacks. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive schemes could shift expectations and impact trading activity in this market.