TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific player achieves various rushing yard thresholds in a designated football game. Each outcome represents a different yardage milestone the player must surpass during the match. The resolution hinges solely on the player's actual rushing performance, with specific conditions for inactive or non-participating scenarios.
All markets resolve based on whether Ashton Jeanty records the specified rushing yard threshold or more in the Las Vegas vs New Orleans professional football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If Jeanty is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Jeanty takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve strictly according to the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation for each outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering the influence of public bias in sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome than what’s available at conventional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential rushing yard performance of the teams involved.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard total for the Las Vegas versus New Orleans game, as recorded by the official NFL statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their contracts following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Las Vegas or New Orleans teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or snow, could also impact the expected rushing yard totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or team matchups could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.