TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
Each market evaluates whether a specified player achieves a particular receiving yard threshold in the designated game. If the player meets or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A player is considered to have taken a snap if they are on the field for any offensive, defensive, or special teams play, regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty. If a player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap, the market outcome is determined solely by whether the defined yardage threshold is met during the game. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct performance benchmark for the same game and players.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, though they are not directly integrated into Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts expectations accordingly, offering a unique view compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the NFL game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for the players involved in the Las Vegas versus New Orleans game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or quarterbacks on either the Las Vegas or New Orleans teams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, updates on player matchups and defensive strategies could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could also contribute to volatility in this market.