TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player or defensive unit will score the first touchdown for New Orleans in an upcoming professional football game against Las Vegas. It includes various offensive players and the defensive unit as potential scorers, along with a market for the possibility of no touchdown being scored.
The event determines whether a specified New Orleans player or the team's defensive unit scores the first touchdown in the game against Las Vegas. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, resolving to 'Yes' if that entity scores the first touchdown. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair pre-game price. Once a player takes a snap, the outcome depends on whether they score the first touchdown. If no New Orleans touchdowns are scored, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all other player-specific markets resolve to 'No.' The markets are independent, and the resolution is contingent on the game's actual play, with no official affiliation to the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering the collective intelligence they represent. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public perception and promotional offers, creating potential discrepancies with the probabilities seen in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the Las Vegas versus New Orleans game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The outcome will be determined by the official NFL game records, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for New Orleans, would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected game plan and, consequently, the likelihood of specific players scoring. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or play-calling tendencies could move the market. Finally, significant betting activity itself – a large influx of volume on a particular player – could also drive price changes in this market.