TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for Las Vegas in an upcoming professional football game against New Orleans. Participants speculate on whether specific offensive players, the defensive unit, or no touchdown at all will achieve this distinction.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or unit scores the first touchdown for Las Vegas in the designated game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first Las Vegas touchdown. If no Las Vegas touchdowns occur during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player and unit markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all participant-specific markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each potential scorer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a true probability assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the Las Vegas team’s game against New Orleans. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available game information and official rulings.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the starting quarterback or wide receiver positions. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, news regarding team strategies or play-calling tendencies could impact trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular player – could quickly move the market.