TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game between Las Vegas and New Orleans. Outcomes depend on whether a team exceeds specific point thresholds within the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Las Vegas or New Orleans in the first half of the game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold for a team to exceed: thresholds range from 2.5 to 30.5 points for both teams. If the specified team scores more than the stated threshold in the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If not, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect others. The governing league's official scoring and game records determine outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments and the unique incentives of each venue. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to convergence or divergence with sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for each team. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe a team will score over a certain amount, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half team totals from the Las Vegas vs New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scoring data released by the league. The market will determine which contracts, representing specific point totals, will pay out based on the actual results of the first half. The platform will automatically settle the contracts based on this verified information.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before Sep 28, 2026.