TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Las Vegas will win its professional football game against New Orleans. Currently, the probability of Las Vegas winning on Kalshi is 93.0%, while New Orleans winning is at 7.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Las Vegas vs New Orleans Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Las Vegas wins the game scheduled for September 27, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date of September 28, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team that wins the designated professional football game. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market resolves to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the two. Polls and analysts’ predictions can also differ from both, as they represent individual opinions rather than a continuously updated, incentivized forecast. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Las Vegas vs New Orleans game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Las Vegas vs New Orleans game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted source. The platform will then automatically settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified outcome, ensuring a transparent and efficient process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Las Vegas or New Orleans teams would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in coaching strategies, unexpected weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could also impact trading activity. Major announcements about team performance or player availability are prime catalysts. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.