TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the official game statistics, reflecting how effectively each team moves the ball during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Los Angeles Chargers or Las Vegas, as recorded in the official statistics of the Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) for each team; if a team meets or exceeds its respective threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by public perception, this market can often incorporate information more efficiently as it emerges, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information arises, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and the current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards gained by both the Las Vegas Raiders and the Los Angeles Chargers will be used to determine the winning contracts. Official statistics from the NFL will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts once the resolution process is complete. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Raiders or the Chargers, such as the quarterback or star receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect passing or rushing attacks, could also shift the market. Furthermore, strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff, or even in-game performance during other NFL games that week, could all contribute to price movements in this market.