TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on predicting whether a specific NFL team will achieve a certain number of sacks in an upcoming game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of sacks that the team must reach for the prediction to be considered correct. The outcome is determined solely by the official game statistics.
All markets resolve based on the total number of sacks recorded by the specified team during the Las Vegas vs Los Angeles Chargers Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 20, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific sack threshold marketed.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome occurring. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the number of sacks each team will achieve. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current top outcome, Los Angeles C: 3+ sacks, reflects the collective judgment of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks achieved by each team in the Las Vegas vs Los Angeles game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to view the final results on Kalshi once they are officially reported and validated.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team’s defensive line, particularly pass rushers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game plan and potentially reduce the number of sacks. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ defensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the market prices. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.