TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 5:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether a specific NFL team will achieve a certain number of field goals in an upcoming game. Each market corresponds to a threshold of field goals, allowing participants to bet on the likelihood of the team meeting or exceeding that threshold. The outcomes are determined by the official game statistics.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by either Los Angeles Chargers or Las Vegas in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team records the exact number of field goals or more as defined in the market's outcome label (e.g., '1+', '2+', etc.). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all open markets will resolve according to the final official result of that game. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable settlement given the circumstances. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own analysis and may adjust them based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market odds move in response to news or analysis that doesn't immediately impact sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the total number of field goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored in the Las Vegas vs Los Angeles game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of field goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly the kicker or offensive line, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or game-day conditions could lead to substantial price fluctuations in this market.