TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance thresholds for specific players in an upcoming professional football game. It examines whether designated athletes achieve various yardage milestones during the match, providing insight into potential individual player outputs.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record the exact rushing yard thresholds stated in each primary rule during the designated game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing yards accumulated during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage thresholds for each specified player, ensuring consistent evaluation methodology for every market outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially emphasize traditional metrics, this market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to rapidly incorporate new information and adjust expectations. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the likelihood of the total rushing yards falling within a specific range.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for both the Las Vegas Raiders and the Los Angeles Chargers will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total rushing yards achieved by both teams during the game. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on verifiable data available after the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day, such as rain or wind, could also impact the running game and shift market sentiment. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also move this market as traders react to new information.