TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in a professional football game between two teams. The outcome depends on whether the players meet or exceed certain reception thresholds during the match.
The event evaluates whether designated players achieve specified reception thresholds in a designated football game. Each market corresponds to a player and a reception threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, up to 10+ receptions). If the player records equal to or more receptions than the threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for the event.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes, though it's important to remember each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective expectation of how many receptions will be made in the game.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions by players on both the Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers will be used to determine the winning contracts. Official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the official confirmation.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Raiders or the Chargers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected number of passing attempts and therefore receptions. Finally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market.