TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either Las Vegas or Los Angeles C records a defensive or special teams touchdown during their football game. Such plays, whether in regular or overtime periods, will determine the result.
If Las Vegas or Los Angeles C record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Las Vegas vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge as more information becomes available and the market incorporates new data. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable part of your overall research.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of a defensive touchdown being scored. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether a defensive touchdown is officially recorded in the Las Vegas Raiders versus Los Angeles Chargers game. Official game statistics from a trusted source will be used to determine the result. The outcome will be binary: either a defensive touchdown was scored, or it was not. The market will then settle accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key defensive players on either the Raiders or the Chargers – such as injuries or suspensions – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor strong defensive play, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment or betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook lines, might also influence trading activity on Kalshi and move the market price.