TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for the Los Angeles Chargers in their game against Las Vegas. Each market is tied to a specific participant, with outcomes determined by their performance in the contest.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player or defensive unit scores the first touchdown for the Los Angeles Chargers in the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether they score the first touchdown. If no Los Angeles Chargers touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Los Angeles C Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all participant-specific markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to openly buy and sell contracts based on their own analysis. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they aggregate a diverse range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, creating potential discrepancies with the probabilities expressed in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing Los Angeles will score first) or 'no' contracts (believing they won't). The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market participants adjust these prices based on new information and their own expectations, driving the market towards a consensus view. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the first Los Angeles touchdown.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the game. The official game results, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source, will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive payouts based on the final result. This is a straightforward market tied to a clearly defined event.
Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities reflected in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either team, particularly the quarterback or wide receivers, would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor a strong running game, could also influence expectations. Game-day reports on team formations or play-calling tendencies, and even early momentum shifts during the game itself, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also play a role.