TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 11:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Las Vegas Raiders will win their professional football game against the Houston Texans scheduled for August 20, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability that the Las Vegas Raiders will win is 99.0%, while the probability of a Houston Texans win stands at 1.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the game's official result. The decisive catalyst to watch will be the game itself on August 20, 2026, which will determine the market's settlement.
The market resolves according to the winner of the Las Vegas vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for August 20, 2026. In the event of a tie, each team's market resolves to $0.50. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market stays open to resolve based on the official result. Should the game fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Each team's market resolves to 'Yes' only if that specific team wins the game.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and event-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks set prices based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, prediction markets let participants price in real-time information, news, and shifting expectations. This can lead to wider or narrower spreads, depending on how traders view factors like team performance and upcoming matchups.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity indicated by $13,603,725 in total trading volume. Prices adjust continuously as new information emerges, allowing participants to bet on which team they think will prevail.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with official game results and is finalized when the contest concludes and all data sources agree on the winner.
Key performances, injuries, coaching changes, and playoff implications can all shift trader sentiment in this market leading up to Aug 21, 2026. High-profile games, media narratives, and betting trends may cause rapid price swings, especially as the contest approaches. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of each team winning has the potential to impact odds significantly before settlement.