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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Las Vegas Lights vs. New Mexico United - Exact Score
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas Lights vs. New Mexico United?

Volume:
$39,977

Over 2.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 1:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,622
N/A
N/A
$7,738
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,551
N/A
N/A
$1,220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
$621
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,894
N/A
N/A
$8,174
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,030
N/A
N/A
$2,044
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,127
N/A
N/A
$1,117
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 0 - 1 New Mexico United

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$771
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 0 - 0 New Mexico United

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 1 - 1 New Mexico United

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 New Mexico United

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 0 - 2 New Mexico United

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 2 - 0 New Mexico United

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 0 - 3 New Mexico United

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 1 - 2 New Mexico United

100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 2 - 1 New Mexico United

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 3 - 0 New Mexico United

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 1 - 3 New Mexico United

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 2 - 2 New Mexico United

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 3 - 1 New Mexico United

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 2 - 3 New Mexico United

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 3 - 2 New Mexico United

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights 3 - 3 New Mexico United

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Other Score

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This group forecasts the exact final score of a USL Championship soccer match between Las Vegas Lights and New Mexico United. The markets specify resolution based on the score at the end of regulation time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A separate 'Any Other Score' option exists to cover outcomes not explicitly listed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers markets on specific exact scores, while Kalshi offers markets on over/under goal totals. These are distinct prediction tasks.Hero tip: Do not attempt to cross-reference positions or trading strategies between these platforms. They address different aspects of the same event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a comprehensive set of markets for each possible exact score, plus an 'Any Other Score' option. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes.
  • Kalshi: Offers markets on whether the total number of goals scored exceeds certain thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.). Resolution is based on the total goals after 90 minutes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming USL Championship game between Las Vegas Lights and New Mexico United, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Las Vegas Lights vs. New Mexico United match originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Kalshi

The outcome depends on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. If the specified threshold of goals is exceeded for any market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets refer to the same game, and the resolution is based solely on the final score after regular time.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of each possible exact score for the Las Vegas Lights vs. New Mexico United match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $39,977, with $36,670 traded in the last 24 hours. The current consensus view, based on trading activity, suggests a high probability for a specific outcome. This allows users to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is pricing the likelihood of different results in this soccer match, providing a unique perspective beyond traditional odds.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of traders who have 'skin in the game'. This market’s odds represent what people are willing to risk to predict the exact score, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets can sometimes offer more nuanced probabilities than simple win/loss odds, as seen with the range of exact score possibilities here.