TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Las Vegas Lights vs. New Mexico United
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United?

Volume:
$187,059

New Mexico United

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 1:03 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico United

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$110,187
N/A
N/A
$60,726
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Mexico United

100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,598
N/A
N/A
$24,840
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Las Vegas Lights vs. New Mexico United)

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas Lights

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,642
N/A
N/A
$22,380
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Lights

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer game between Las Vegas Lights and New Mexico United scheduled for September 5, 2026. Markets exist for Las Vegas Lights winning, New Mexico United winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic for canceled games between Polymarket and Kalshi.Hero tip: Consider the implications of a game cancellation when trading on these platforms. Polymarket will resolve win markets to 'No', while Kalshi will resolve the tie market to 'Yes'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, the win markets resolve to 'No'. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, the win markets resolve to 'No', but the tie market resolves to 'Yes'. "If Las Vegas Lights wins... resolves to Yes. If New Mexico United wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Las Vegas Lights and New Mexico United.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United professional USL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Las Vegas Lights, a win for New Mexico United, or a tie. The market resolves to Yes for the respective outcome market if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Las Vegas Lights vs. New Mexico United match-up market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing combined volume of $187,059 and 24-hour volume at $155,729. It displays the consensus view across platforms, highlighting the current favorite and probability for each possible result. This centralized view helps traders monitor how market sentiment shifts as the event approaches, providing a clear snapshot of collective expectations from all participating prediction markets.