TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 12:34 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether Las Vegas Lights or Hartford Athletic achieves a decisive victory margin in their upcoming match, focusing solely on regular time plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalties.
The spread markets resolve based on the goal differential between Las Vegas Lights and Hartford Athletic in their USL Championship match on September 19, 2026, counting only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results. A 'Yes' outcome for the Las Vegas Lights markets occurs if they win by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals respectively. Conversely, a 'Yes' outcome for the Hartford Athletic markets occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals respectively. All markets share the same temporal parameters and resolution structure, differing only in the team and the required winning margin.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the teams. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league or governing body for the match. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will be paid out according to the market price at resolution, while those on the losing side will forfeit their contracts. The final outcome will be determined by the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either the Las Vegas Lights or Hartford Athletic could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in news articles and social media, can also contribute to price movements. Finally, large trades on Kalshi by informed traders could also cause noticeable shifts in the market price.