TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm?

Volume:
$797,975

Spread -10.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 12:44 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$173,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,181
N/A
N/A
$6,385
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 21.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$145,534
N/A
N/A
$53,357
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$135,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,864
N/A
N/A
$3,935
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$71,459
N/A
N/A
$58,413
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 18.5 points

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$65,693
N/A
N/A
$35,369
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 12.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44,480
N/A
N/A
$17,563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 15.5 points

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,651
N/A
N/A
$22,015
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 23.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,416
N/A
N/A
$11,950
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,240
N/A
N/A
$10,056
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 174.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 25.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,530
N/A
N/A
$4,016
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 29.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,807
N/A
N/A
$3,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,764
N/A
N/A
$2,478
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 27.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,050
N/A
N/A
$2,185
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 32.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,313
N/A
N/A
$1,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 34.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,209
N/A
N/A
$1,888
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 175.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins by over 36.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$513
N/A
N/A
$513
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 49

Intro

This market tracks the probability of A'ja Wilson scoring over or under 25.5 points in the Las Vegas Aces versus Seattle Storm game. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to A'ja Wilson exceeding 25.5 points. This prediction market resolves based on official statistics reported by https://www.wnba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 17th, as player performance during the game will directly influence the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers multiple markets based on varying Las Vegas win margins, while Polymarket provides fewer, more discrete spread options.Hero tip: Pay close attention to the specific point spread threshold for each market. Kalshi's granularity allows for more precise bets on the margin of victory.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on whether Las Vegas wins by a specific point differential (e.g., >8.5 or >9.5 points). If the game ends in a tie, the 'Seattle Storm' resolves.
  • Kalshi: Offers multiple markets resolving 'Yes' if Las Vegas wins by a specific margin (1.5, 3.5, 6.5, etc. points). Each margin has its own separate market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the final point differential of the Las Vegas vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point-spread threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if Las Vegas wins by the stated margin or greater, or if Seattle wins by the stated margin or greater depending on the market. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and resolve after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the WNBA championship market by aggregating trading activity and price discovery across both platforms. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.5 at 98, while Kalshi has no top market available. The dashboard provides a consensus view of predictions regarding the outcome of the Las Vegas Aces versus Seattle Storm matchup, displaying combined volume of $797,975 and 24-hour volume of $783,538. This allows users to see how the crowd is thinking about the event and compare prices across different venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust prices more rapidly than sportsbooks in response to new developments, offering a potentially more dynamic assessment of probabilities for the WNBA championship.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Different user bases, varying trading fees, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to price divergence. Polymarket may attract a more sophisticated or informed group of traders, while Kalshi might have a broader, more casual participant base. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Even with the same underlying event, these platform-specific dynamics can result in different probabilities being reflected in the prices for the Las Vegas Aces versus Seattle Storm outcome.