TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty?

Volume:
$1,933,795

Over 174.5 points scored

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 9:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 174.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$347,098
N/A
N/A
$154,951
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 174.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 177.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$162,181
N/A
N/A
$56,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 171.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$147,058
N/A
N/A
$51,635
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 168.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$136,331
N/A
N/A
$46,765
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$83,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 162.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$75,162
N/A
N/A
$33,771
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 165.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,298
N/A
N/A
$21,423
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 173.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 175.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 172.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 37

Intro

This market tracks the combined point total in the WNBA matchup between the Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability for the over/under 175.5 points outcome stands at 99.0%, as resolved by official WNBA scoring records. Watch for the final game score on June 30, 2026, as boundary scores near the 175.5-point threshold may trigger settlement differences across platforms due to varying threshold definitions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Over/Under threshold logic differs between platforms. Kalshi uses strict greater-than (>) comparisons, while Polymarket uses greater-than-or-equal (≥) with an implicit +0.5 adjustment to the stated threshold. At boundary scores, the same final total will resolve differently on each platform.Hero tip: When the game concludes, calculate the exact combined final score. Cross-reference against each platform's specific threshold and logical operator. For example, if the combined score is exactly 174: Kalshi's >174.5 market resolves No, but Polymarket's O/U 174.5 market resolves Over. Always verify the operator (> vs ≥) and threshold before confirming settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Nine O/U markets using strict greater-than (>) logic. Thresholds: 162.5, 165.5, 168.5, 171.5, 174.5, 177.5, 180.5, 183.5, 186.5. Resolution: Yes if combined score > threshold. Example: >174.5 means 175+ points resolves Yes, 174 or less resolves No.
  • Polymarket: Five O/U markets using greater-than-or-equal (≥) logic with +0.5 adjustment. Stated thresholds: 171.5, 172.5, 173.5, 174.5, 175.5. Actual resolution thresholds: 172, 173, 174, 175, 176 respectively. Example: O/U 173.5 resolves Over if combined score ≥174, Under if <174.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 30 at 7:00PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the combined final score of the Las Vegas vs New York women's professional basketball game scheduled for June 30, 2026. Each market within this event corresponds to a specific point total threshold, ranging from 162.5 to 186.5 points. A market resolves to Yes if the sum of both teams' final scores exceeds the stated threshold for that particular market. The resolution is determined by the official final score as recorded by the league at the conclusion of regulation play.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus—no house edge. This market's prices emerge from thousands of independent traders wagering real money, often capturing information faster than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value: if traders assign higher probability than the book's implied odds, that signals potential opportunity. Both reflect uncertainty, but their mechanisms and incentives differ meaningfully.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, and recent team performance trends. Trades or signings involving star players can shift implied probabilities significantly. Head-to-head matchup history and playoff seeding implications also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage, expert predictions, and betting line movements at major sportsbooks often trigger repricing here. Closer to game day, weather conditions, travel schedules, and player rest status become relevant. Any unexpected news—suspensions, coaching changes, or public statements—can spark rapid repricing as traders digest new information and adjust their positions.