TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the goal differential during regulation time in the Larne vs Crvena Zvezda Champions League match. Outcomes correspond to whether Larne or Crvena Zvezda wins by margins exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals.
Resolution is based on the goal differential during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the Larne vs Crvena Zvezda Champions League soccer match scheduled for July 21, 2026. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated margin: Larne by more than 2.5 goals, Larne by more than 1.5 goals, Crvena Zvezda by more than 1.5 goals, or Crvena Zvezda by more than 2.5 goals. For example, if Larne wins 4-1, both Larne outcomes resolve to Yes. If Crvena Zvezda wins 3-0, both Crvena Zvezda outcomes resolve to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often reflect a broader consensus from many independent traders, whereas traditional sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins. Prediction markets tend to adjust faster to new information because traders have direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. Sportsbooks may lag behind or apply wider margins. For this market, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing the spread differently than professional oddsmakers, potentially signaling where informed traders see value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen price levels. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread between the best bid and ask reflects the current market consensus on the regulation time point differential. Prices move as new orders arrive and existing orders are filled, creating a continuous price discovery process. Traders can place limit orders to wait for their target price or use market orders for immediate execution, with all pricing transparent and updated in real time on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the Larne vs Crvena Zvezda match concludes and the regulation time result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final point spread at the end of 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Resolution occurs after the official final score is confirmed and recorded by the relevant sports authority. Traders should monitor match updates and official announcements to track when the market will settle.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any tactical adjustments by either manager can shift trader expectations of the spread. Live match developments—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive price movement as traders update their forecasts in real time. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and motivational factors (such as tournament stage or playoff implications) also influence how traders price this market. Monitor official team announcements and match commentary for signals that could reshape the expected outcome.