TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than Tre Fiori FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tre Fiori FC" if Tre Fiori FC score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than Tre Fiori FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tre Fiori FC" if Tre Fiori FC score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because participants have real financial skin in the game and no house edge to overcome. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus leans and highlight potential value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as a Larne victory, Tre Fiori victory, or a draw in the second half—has its own share price between 0 and 1, where the price reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move. The sum of all outcome prices equals 1, ensuring internal consistency and allowing you to compare relative likelihoods at a glance.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the Larne versus Tre Fiori match concludes and the second-half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team scored more goals in the second half, or whether both teams scored equally. Resolution depends on the official match record and is typically confirmed within hours of the final whistle. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions. Early match momentum and goals scored in the first half will likely trigger repricing as traders update their expectations for the second-half result. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one outcome can also move prices. Additionally, any breaking developments regarding venue, referee assignments, or external circumstances affecting either club may influence how traders position themselves in this market.