TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and Tre Fiori FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. This market aggregates the beliefs of many independent traders rather than a single bookmaker's view, which can surface insights that traditional odds miss. Comparing this market's probabilities to major sportsbook lines can highlight where the crowd sees value or where public perception may differ from market pricing.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure for each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. When more traders back a particular outcome—say, a 1–0 Tre Fiori victory—its price rises and the implied probability increases. Conversely, if confidence shifts away from a scoreline, its price falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects real-time sentiment and new information about team form, injuries, or tactical changes leading up to kickoff.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the Larne versus Tre Fiori match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time; whichever outcome corresponds to the actual result will be marked correct, and all other exact-score options will be marked incorrect. Traders holding shares in the winning scoreline receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, managerial changes, or tactical shifts that alter expected attacking or defensive output. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader sentiment about likely scorelines. Weather conditions on match day may favor certain playing styles. Public betting patterns and media narratives can also influence market prices as casual traders react to coverage. Close to kickoff, late-breaking team sheets and lineup confirmations often trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust probabilities based on confirmed starting elevens.