TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 9:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Larne FC and SK Iberia 1999, scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than SK Iberia 1999 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Larne FC and SK Iberia 1999 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Iberia 1999" if SK Iberia 1999 score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Larne FC and SK Iberia 1999, scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than SK Iberia 1999 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Larne FC and SK Iberia 1999 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Iberia 1999" if SK Iberia 1999 score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, odds are set through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of all traders on the platform. As trading volume grows, price shifts can become more pronounced, particularly with new information about team form or key player injuries. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments ahead of Aug 4, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final second-half result will be compared against the market’s listed options to determine the winning side based on official match records.
Several factors could shift probabilities before Aug 4, 2026. Key player injuries, tactical changes by coaches, or weather conditions impacting the match may all influence trader sentiment. High-profile performances or controversies during the first half could also cause rapid reevaluation. As the match approaches, any update to team news or stadium conditions may lead to noticeable price swings on Polymarket, especially if they affect the likelihood of a particular second-half result.