TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 5:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the UEFA Europa League soccer match between Larne FC and SK Iberia 1999, scheduled for August 6, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0% across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. The upcoming match on August 6, 2026, will provide the definitive result.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, August 6, 2026 between Larne FC and SK Iberia 1999.
If Larne wins the Larne vs Iberia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Iberia wins the Larne vs Iberia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Larne vs Iberia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, August 6, 2026 between Larne FC and SK Iberia 1999.
On Polymarket and Predict, user bases and trading dynamics vary, which can push prices apart. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a particular team, while the other reflects a global, more neutral audience. Liquidity differences also play a role — deeper markets tend to stabilize around a central value faster. These factors mean the two venues can show distinct implied probabilities even for the same match.
Injuries to key players, weather forecasts, or shifting team form could all move this market. Media reports and betting trends on either side may also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute lineup changes or tactical updates can cause rapid price swings, so watching official team announcements and pre-game analysis is crucial for spotting movement.