TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 5:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and FK Crvena zvezda, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than FK Crvena zvezda in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Larne FC and FK Crvena zvezda score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Crvena zvezda" if FK Crvena zvezda score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and FK Crvena zvezda, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Larne FC" if Larne FC score more goals than FK Crvena zvezda in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Larne FC and FK Crvena zvezda score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Crvena zvezda" if FK Crvena zvezda score more goals than Larne FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about outcomes. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants rather than a single oddsmaker, which can surface insights that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs from professional bookmaking.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the current price of a share reflects the crowd's live estimate of that result's likelihood. As more traders buy or sell a given outcome, its price adjusts, making the market self-correcting and responsive to new information about the teams and match conditions.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team achieves the better result in the second-half period alone, independent of the first-half score. Resolution occurs after official match data is confirmed, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative information before payouts are finalized.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's second-half prospects. Early match events, such as goals, red cards, or momentum swings in the first half, often reshape expectations for what unfolds after halftime. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and any managerial adjustments at the break will also influence how traders position themselves. Real-time match flow is the primary driver of price movement in this market.