TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 5:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and FK Crvena zvezda, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Larne FC and FK Crvena zvezda, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate beliefs from thousands of independent traders with real money at stake. Traders here face direct financial consequences for inaccurate predictions, which can create sharper, more efficient pricing than sportsbooks offer. However, sportsbooks may incorporate late-breaking injury reports or tactical shifts faster than crowd-based markets, so comparing both sources provides a fuller picture before committing to a prediction.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities for each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing individual outcomes, and the cumulative order flow determines the odds displayed on the dashboard. The top outcome currently reflects strong consensus, though less-favored scorelines remain available for contrarian bettors. Prices update continuously as new trades execute, ensuring the market reflects the latest information and sentiment from active participants.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter odds as traders reassess winning probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence how the crowd prices each scoreline. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking suspensions may also trigger repricing in the final hours before kickoff. As match day approaches, odds typically tighten around the most likely outcomes, while surprise developments can create sharp swings. Monitoring team social media, injury reports, and pre-match analysis helps traders stay ahead of market moves.