TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Atletico vs Villarreal: Spread
limitless
kalshi
opinion

What is the result of Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Volume:
$188,495

Draw

all

2 markets

Limitless

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 1:43 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74,439
N/A
N/A
$50,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,389
N/A
N/A
$39,577
Settled
No
kalshi

Villarreal wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,573
N/A
N/A
$25,444
Settled
No
kalshi

Villarreal wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,742
N/A
N/A
$19,521
Settled
No
limitless

Atletico Madrid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$3,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Atletico Madrid wins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Villarreal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$3,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Villarreal wins

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group covers various betting markets for the upcoming LaLiga match between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal scheduled for August 23, 2026. Markets include win/draw outcomes and spread betting based on goal differences.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence exists between outcome-based markets (Opinion/Limitless) and spread-based markets (Kalshi). Outcome markets resolve on win/draw while Kalshi requires specific goal differences.Hero tip: Use Opinion/Limitless for simple win/draw betting. Use Kalshi only if you have specific spread predictions. Avoid arbitrage between these markets as they resolve differently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves Yes/No based solely on match outcome (Atletico win, Villarreal win, or Draw)
  • Limitless: Resolves Yes/No based solely on match outcome (Atletico win, Villarreal win, or Draw) with specific cancellation rules
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes only if goal difference meets or exceeds specified thresholds (>1.5 or >2.5) for either team
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Markets resolve according to the goal differential if either Atletico or Villarreal wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. 'Yes' outcomes occur when Atletico wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or when Villarreal wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, as specified per market. The referenced match is the professional La Liga fixture originally scheduled for August 23, 2026. Kalshi emphasizes it is not affiliated with, authorized by, endorsed by, or connected in any official capacity to the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 23, 2026, 15:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 22, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Opinion

This market refers to the La Liga match between Atletico Madrid (ATM) and Villarreal (VIL), scheduled for 2026-08-23 15:00 UTC. - ATM: If Atletico Madrid wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - VIL: If Villarreal wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ATM and VIL options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market reflect crowd-sourced forecasts, incorporating diverse trader insights and real-time updates, while sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers using historical data and proprietary models. Typically, prediction markets may show tighter spreads or different favorites, especially when trader sentiment diverges from mainstream lines. Monitoring both can reveal value gaps or early shifts in public opinion.

On Limitless, this market is priced through trader bets that may weight recent form or historical matchups differently, while Opinion could reflect a broader user base with varied access to analytics. Limitless and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, each platform’s liquidity can magnify small shifts in sentiment, especially with low volume of $188,495. These factors mean odds on Limitless and Opinion can diverge until more data or a clear favorite emerges.