This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Lafayette Leopards and Army Black Knights scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Army win and Lafayette win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between the two teams.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform issues a corrective amendment. The Yes/Yes structure is a critical data integrity failure. Use Polymarket as your primary reference for this matchup, which has clear binary resolution logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary outcome structure. Lafayette win resolves to 'Lafayette Leopards', Army win resolves to 'Army Black Knights'. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines result.
Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic: both 'If Army wins' and 'If Lafayette wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No No condition is defined, making market unable to distinguish outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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