TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Lady Gaga will accumulate more than 244.2 million worldwide streams during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking week on Luminate. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 11.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week, with settlement expected around June 1, 2026. Watch Lady Gaga's release schedule and promotional activity leading into the May 22–28 tracking period to gauge the likelihood of exceeding the threshold.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for Lady Gaga during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking period. The outcome hinges on whether her total streams during that week exceed the 244,243,125 threshold. Luminate data is the authoritative source for streaming counts across major platforms, ensuring an objective, verifiable resolution independent of subjective interpretation or external events.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. A surprise single or album release would likely drive streaming volume upward. Major media appearances, award show performances, or viral social media moments can spike listener engagement. Tour announcements or collaborations with other artists may attract new listeners. Conversely, competing releases from other major artists or negative news could dampen streaming. Chart performance and playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, and YouTube also influence weekly totals. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports may cause sharp odds movements as traders update their expectations.