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Lacy and Marlon # of Fortnite deaths during marathon?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Lacy and Marlon # of Fortnite deaths during marathon?

Volume:
$75,312

<100

 - Polymarket

<100 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 1:47 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<100

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
Yes
polymarket

100-199

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

200-299

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

300-399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

400-499

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

500-599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

900-999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

600-699

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

800-899

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

700-799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,385
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
polymarket

1000+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,318
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 5h 14m
No
Total markets: 11

Description

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.

Polymarket

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Fortnite deaths market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is currently valuing the likely number of deaths during the marathon stream. The current volume is $7,354, and the total volume traded to date is $75,312. This information allows traders to assess market sentiment and potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are pricing the outcome of this event, offering valuable insights into the collective prediction.

Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from traditional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially for events with rapidly changing dynamics. While sportsbooks rely on statistical models and expert analysis, this market benefits from the diverse perspectives and real-time reactions of many participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of market participants. It’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets serve different purposes and attract different types of bettors.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a certain outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, they will sell, lowering the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of deaths recorded during the specified Fortnite marathon stream will be the determining factor. Resolution will rely on publicly available data and verification against reliable sources documenting the event. The platform will determine the final count based on these sources, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor the event closely as it unfolds to understand the potential resolution path and the factors influencing the final result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding the streamers’ skill level, strategies, or potential challenges during the marathon could influence trading activity. Unexpected technical difficulties or changes to the game itself could also shift expectations. Furthermore, public sentiment and social media buzz surrounding the event could impact the market, as traders react to perceived momentum or potential upsets. Finally, any announcements or changes to the marathon’s rules or format could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.