TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 9:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Alondrissa" if Alondrissa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Angie Velasco, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI. It will resolve to "Velasco" if Angie Velasco is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50". If either Alondrissa or Angie Velasco does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Alondrissa" if Alondrissa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Angie Velasco, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, Spain, as part of La Velada del Año VI. It will resolve to "Velasco" if Angie Velasco is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50". If either Alondrissa or Angie Velasco does not compete in the bout as scheduled (including withdrawal, replacement by a substitute fighter, or non-participation for any reason), this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the La Velada del Año VI broadcast on Ibai Llanos's official Twitch channel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of independent participants believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional oddsmakers' assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the current price of a winning share reflects the market's aggregate belief in that result. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the price adjusts instantly, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at the prevailing rate.
Market prices typically shift in response to fighter news, training updates, injury reports, or changes in public perception about either competitor's form. Weigh-in results, last-minute withdrawals, or significant media coverage can trigger rapid repricing as traders reassess their positions. Betting patterns from professional sharps, social media momentum, and expert commentary also influence trader behavior. Any development affecting perceived matchup dynamics could cause meaningful swings in this market's odds.