TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the LA Rams or the DEN Broncos specifically during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to settle favorably.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the designated LA Rams vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team achieves a victory margin exceeding the specified point differential for that market. Markets are structured symmetrically for both teams across various thresholds, ranging from narrow margins (e.g., over 1.5 points) to substantial leads (e.g., over 10.5 points). The resolution depends exclusively on third-quarter performance, with no consideration given to points scored in other quarters or final game results. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets as a potentially more accurate indicator of future outcomes, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price dynamically adjusts, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the Rams-Broncos game. The current price indicates what the market collectively believes will happen.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Rams-Broncos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official score differential at the end of the 3rd quarter, as reported by official sources for the NFL. The price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine which traders were successful in their predictions. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on the actual game results.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Rams or the Broncos would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated betting lines from sportsbooks, could lead to adjustments in the price on Kalshi as traders react to the evolving information landscape.