TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of the LA Rams and DEN Broncos in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. It focuses on the point differential between the two teams during that specific segment of play, highlighting potential dominance by either side in the opening quarter.
The event evaluates various point differentials by which either the LA Rams or DEN Broncos could win the first quarter of their scheduled game on Sep 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory—ranging from narrow wins (over 2.5 points) to decisive leads (over 10.5 points)—for either team. All outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the first quarter, with no consideration given to the full game result. The markets collectively offer granular perspectives on potential early-game dominance, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of substantial leads being established within the first 15 minutes of play. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets have sometimes demonstrated greater accuracy than traditional methods in forecasting event outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Rams-Broncos 1st quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels – provides insight into the strength of conviction behind various predictions. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the first quarter of the Rams-Broncos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning contract. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual first-quarter spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The official game results will be the determining factor for settling this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Rams or the Broncos would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift predictions. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in expectations and drive price changes in this market.