TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the LA Rams will win the first half of their game against the Denver Broncos by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the first half result of the LA Rams vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will be finalized following the conclusion of the first half on September 27, 2026, to determine if the Rams exceeded the 2.5-point spread.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first half of the designated LA Rams vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point margin — for example, 'LA Rams wins 1H by over 10.5 points' resolves to 'Yes' only if the Rams lead by at least 11 points at halftime. Conversely, markets resolve to 'No' if the team fails to meet or exceed its threshold, including ties or losses. Only points scored during the first half count; any scoring in the second half is irrelevant. The markets cover a range of margins from 2.5 to 10.5 points for both teams, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in the opening half.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first half spread result from the LA Rams versus DEN Broncos game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle based on the actual point difference at halftime, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Rams or the Broncos would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected scoring and therefore the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market. Public sentiment and large bets from influential traders on Kalshi can also cause noticeable price movements.