TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for both teams during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the game between the LA Chargers and the BUF Bills scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the team in question exceeds the stated point total—ranging from modest thresholds like 3.5 points to very high thresholds like 42.5 points—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The governing league's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it's important to remember that sportsbooks and this market assess probabilities independently, leading to potential variations in their respective valuations of the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information, providing a real-time assessment of the probability of various team total results for the Chargers and Bills.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total for both the Chargers and the Bills, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the combined score achieved by each team during the game, and will be independently verified to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chargers or the Bills would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as significant betting patterns observed in sportsbooks, could all contribute to shifts in the market’s price as traders react to new information.