TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the LA Chargers and BUF Bills specifically in the fourth quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the fourth quarter of the designated game, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined points scored by the LA Chargers and BUF Bills in the fourth quarter exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds range from just over 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the final quarter of play. The secondary rule consistently specifies that only points scored during regulation fourth-quarter play count, ensuring clarity and consistency across all markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the total points scored in the 4th quarter. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by factors such as injuries, weather conditions, and expert analysis, all synthesized by the traders themselves.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter between the Buffalo Bills and the LA Chargers will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the market’s threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Bills or the Chargers would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive the price of this market up or down as traders adjust their predictions.