TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:38 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of a specific football game. Each threshold represents a progressively higher point total that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. The outcomes depend solely on the game's third-quarter scoring dynamics.
The markets assess whether the combined points scored by the LA Chargers and BUF Bills during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, with the outcome determined by whether the total points scored in that quarter surpass the respective threshold. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these markets, and all markets operate independently, each resolving to "Yes" if the threshold is exceeded and "No" otherwise. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the 3rd quarter, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people want to buy a particular outcome, the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for predicting the total points scored in the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the LA Chargers versus Buffalo Bills game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verification. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual events of the game. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game ends. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chargers or the Bills would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media sentiment, could also play a role. Finally, large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, especially as the game draws closer.