TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Buffalo Bills versus the Los Angeles Chargers specifically within the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that could occur during that quarter, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance by either team in a single quarter.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Chargers exclusively during the third quarter of their scheduled game on September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes.' For markets where the Bills win by more than a designated point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points), resolution depends solely on whether they outscore the Chargers by exceeding that margin in the third quarter alone. Similarly, markets for the Chargers require them to win the third quarter by margins of 2.5 to 10.5 points or greater. All outcomes are determined exclusively by points scored during the third quarter, with no consideration given to the overall game result or points from other quarters. The markets are independent of each other, meaning each resolves based on its own threshold without influence from the others.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s price is determined by traders actively buying and selling contracts. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies, as the market reacts to news, injuries, or shifts in public opinion. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as more information becomes available closer to game time, offering a potentially valuable comparison for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter spread of the LA Chargers vs. BUF Bills game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential in the 3rd quarter will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bills or the Chargers would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Unexpected news about team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in sentiment and move the price, so monitoring Kalshi’s activity is important.