TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Kyōto Sanga FC and Cerezo Ōsaka scheduled for March 14, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate, mutually exclusive markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market—it is logically broken and cannot be settled fairly. Use only Polymarket's three binary markets (Cerezo Win, Kyoto Win, Draw), which follow standard prediction market logic and reference official J-League statistics with a 2-hour publication window.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure is logically contradictory. All three outcomes (Cerezo win, Tie, Kyoto Sanga win) are stated to resolve to Yes. Since exactly one outcome must occur, the market cannot be falsified and is unresolvable. Quote: 'If Cerezo wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyoto Sanga wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic. Cerezo Win market: Yes if Cerezo wins, No otherwise. Kyoto Win market: Yes if Kyoto wins, No otherwise. Draw market: Yes if draw, No otherwise. Exactly one resolves Yes. Quote: 'If Cerezo Ōsaka wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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