TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 10:30 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Kyrgyzstan and Palestine (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 9, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 9, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, the Kyrgyzstan and Palestine 4+ cards outcome is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing YES or NO positions. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal probability traders assign to the event: higher prices indicate stronger belief that both teams will accumulate at least 4 cards combined. Liquidity, recent team news, and historical card rates in similar fixtures all influence the bid-ask spread. As the match date approaches and new information emerges—such as confirmed lineups or referee assignments—the price adjusts to reflect updated trader conviction.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, shortly after the final whistle of the Kyrgyzstan vs. Palestine match. Resolution is determined by the official card count recorded in the match report: if the combined total of yellow and red cards issued to both teams reaches 4 or higher, the YES outcome wins; otherwise, NO wins. The resolution relies on authoritative match data from the governing body or official league records to ensure accuracy and prevent disputes.
Several catalysts can shift the market price before Jun 10, 2026. Confirmed team lineups and injury reports may reveal whether aggressive or defensive players will start, affecting expected card volume. Referee assignment is critical—some officials are known for stricter or more lenient card discipline. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any rivalry context can signal likelihood of heated play. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tournament stakes also influence physicality. Breaking news of suspensions, tactical changes, or player feuds can trigger sharp repricing. Monitor team news channels and official announcements for updates that traders will immediately incorporate into the market.