TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 10:30 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Kyrgyzstan and Kenya (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 3, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution depends on the final tally of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during the Kyrgyzstan versus Kenya match. The outcome is binary: if the total reaches 4 or more cards, the affirmative resolves; if fewer than 4 cards are shown, the negative resolves. Official match records and referee reports determine the card count. Any cards issued during regular time and extra time (if applicable) count toward the total.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury status, which affect playing intensity and defensive aggression. Referee assignment matters significantly, as different officials have varying card-issuance tendencies. Recent disciplinary records for both squads and any suspensions will influence trader expectations. Match stakes and tournament context—whether this is a knockout or group stage—can drive more aggressive play and higher card counts. Weather conditions and pitch quality may also shift tackling frequency. Real-time updates during the match itself will cause rapid price swings as cards accumulate.