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Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Malawi - Most Sixes
polymarket
kalshi

Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Malawi - Most Sixes

Volume:
$4,375

Rwanda

 - Kalshi

Rwanda - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 11:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rwanda

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,768
N/A
N/A
$3,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Malawi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
No
polymarket

RWA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MWI2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Rwanda and Malawi scheduled for 2026-06-10 in Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Rwanda will be considered correct if Rwanda is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Malawi.The outcome corresponding to Malawi will be considered correct if Malawi is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Rwanda. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure entirely different outcomes: Kalshi resolves on match winner (binary), while Polymarket resolves on sixes count (ternary). Additionally, the scheduled match dates differ (Jun 15 vs Jun 10, 2026), creating ambiguity about which fixture is the authoritative event.Hero tip: Do not treat these markets as correlated or hedgeable. Kalshi's YES outcome (either team wins) is orthogonal to Polymarket's sixes outcomes. Confirm the official Kwibuka T20 fixture date and verify whether Kalshi's market description is erroneous or refers to a different match entirely. Trading these as a pair without date/scope clarification carries critical execution risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary match-outcome market. Resolves YES if Malawi wins OR Rwanda wins the match on Jun 15, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT. This is a win/loss resolution, not a sixes-count resolution. Key Quote: If Malawi wins the match, then YES. If Rwanda wins the match, then YES.
  • Polymarket: Ternary sixes-count market. Resolves to Rwanda Winner, Malawi Winner, or Draw based on which team hits more sixes in the match on Jun 10, 2026. Only sixes from the bat count; super over sixes excluded. Cancellation or missing statistics = Draw. Key Quote: The outcome corresponding to Rwanda will be considered correct if Rwanda is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Malawi.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Rwanda and Malawi scheduled for 2026-06-10 in Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Rwanda will be considered correct if Rwanda is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Malawi.The outcome corresponding to Malawi will be considered correct if Malawi is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Rwanda. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.

Kalshi

This event comprises two markets resolving based on the winner of the Rwanda vs Malawi women's T20 International cricket match on June 15, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT. The Rwanda market resolves to Yes if Rwanda wins; the Malawi market resolves to Yes if Malawi wins. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such an event occurs after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, markets resolve based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the Most Sixes outcome in the Rwanda vs Malawi women's T20 match across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays consensus probability estimates, order-book depth, and 24-hour volume trends to help traders monitor how the market is pricing the likelihood of each team hitting the most sixes. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you gain visibility into which outcomes are gaining or losing conviction, and spot arbitrage opportunities when prices diverge between venues.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi typically reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are updated continuously by active traders, whereas traditional sportsbooks adjust odds less frequently and build in wider margins. For the Rwanda vs Malawi Most Sixes market, prediction market prices may react faster to team news, injury updates, or weather changes. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is pricing in factors sportsbooks have not yet fully reflected, offering potential value for informed bettors.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different regulatory frameworks, liquidity pools, and user bases, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket may attract traders focused on binary outcomes, while Kalshi draws a broader derivatives audience. Differences in order-flow timing, funding costs, and market-maker participation also create spreads. Additionally, each platform's fee structure and settlement rules influence how traders price risk, leading to measurable divergences that arbitrageurs can exploit until prices reconverge.

Key catalysts include team announcements regarding player injuries, roster changes, or captain decisions. Weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions and boundary lengths can shift expectations for six-hitting potential. Recent form and head-to-head statistics between Rwanda and Malawi women's teams may trigger repricing as traders incorporate new data. Toss outcome and venue-specific factors like ground dimensions and wind patterns will drive final positioning. Social media sentiment and expert commentary closer to match day can also accelerate price movement as conviction builds around either team's batting strength.