TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether the fight concludes before the start of a specific round, indicating an early finish. The outcomes hinge on the fight ending prematurely, either due to a knockout, technical knockout, submission, disqualification, or other abrupt cessation before the designated round begins.
Markets resolve to Yes if the fight ends before the specified round begins. This includes any victory by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification occurring in a round prior to the one indicated. The fight must be the one scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, and any early conclusion before the specified round triggers a Yes outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that prediction market prices are more sensitive to new information or expert analysis, as traders can quickly adjust their positions based on changing perceptions. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant event.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Campbell vs Peek fight, specifically determining whether the fight ends before round 3. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to stay informed about any potential delays or changes to the event schedule that could impact the resolution timeline.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or major betting trends in sportsbooks could also influence prices. Furthermore, as the fight date approaches, updates on fighter weight and physical condition will become increasingly important. Monitoring these factors can provide valuable insights into potential market movements before Sep 5, 2026.