TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which team will advance between Kuopion PS and Sabah FK in their UEFA Champions League match. The current aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 50.0%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Limitless, with resolution governed by UEFA at https://www.uefa.com/. Watch the scheduled match date of July 29, 2026, as it will determine the final outcome of this market.
More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 29 at 11:00 AM ET.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 28, 2026, 15:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 26, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Polymarket, this market uses trader-driven probabilities that often differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and can price in nuances sportsbooks may smooth out, such as in-game momentum or weather impacts. Because traders bet on specific outcomes rather than spread betting, the implied chances can appear more volatile. This gap lets participants spot mispricings or emerging trends before they’re reflected in sportsbook adjustments.
On Polymarket and Limitless, pricing can diverge because each venue has its own user base, liquidity depth, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more international traders who weigh global form more heavily, while another could reflect local fans’ insights. These differences in participation and information flow naturally produce varying probability estimates for the same event.
Injuries, weather updates, or tactical changes announced by coaches can shift this market sharply as they alter expected scoring patterns. Key moments such as recent form, head-to-head history, and even referee announcements sometimes influence trader sentiment. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of goals or match control will be reflected quickly in updated probabilities on Polymarket and Limitless.