TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market examines the victory margin for Kuopion Palloseura over Shamrock during regulation time. The result is determined by whether Kuopion Palloseura or Shamrock wins by a margin greater than specified goal differences.
The market resolves based on the goal difference if either team wins the match during the 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Kuopion Palloseura wins by more than the specified goal difference (1.5 or 2.5 goals), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Shamrock wins by more than the specified goal difference (1.5 or 2.5 goals), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven purely by trader sentiment and betting activity on Kalshi. While sportsbooks may adjust their spreads based on a mix of public betting and sharp money, this market's odds emerge organically from participant trades, potentially offering a distinct view of crowd-sourced expectations for the regulation time spread.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual goal differential at the end of regulation time, and the market will close based solely on that verified match result.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or significant recent performance shifts could all move this market as the event approaches. Additionally, any major news affecting either team's form or morale may cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions, impacting the odds and implied probabilities leading up to Aug 27, 2026.