TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 8:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between KT Wiz and SSG Landers. Participants assess whether the winning team will achieve a decisive lead, measured by specific run differences. Outcomes are determined purely by the final score of the game.
The event determines whether either team wins the specified baseball game by a margin exceeding set run thresholds. Four distinct outcome categories exist: SSG Landers winning by over 2.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by over 1.5 runs, KT Wiz winning by over 1.5 runs, and KT Wiz winning by over 2.5 runs. The market resolves to Yes for the applicable outcome if the winning team’s run differential meets or exceeds the respective threshold. All markets refer to the game originally scheduled for September 22, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. The resolving entity is independent of the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome of the KT Wiz versus SSG Landers game. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the SSG Landers will win by over 2.5 runs. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s expectation, and traders can profit if their prediction proves more accurate than the market’s consensus. The more traders believe the Landers will cover the spread, the higher the contract price will climb.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the KT Wiz versus SSG Landers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the SSG Landers win the game by more than 2.5 runs. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine whether contracts payout to buyers or sellers. Traders should monitor official game results to understand the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the KT Wiz or the SSG Landers would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact pitching conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, significant pre-game analysis from baseball experts or unexpected lineup announcements could all contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could move this market.